Walmart Just Did Something It Hasn’t Done in 3 Years (And It’s Not Good)

Well, well, well. Look who decided to join the “oops, we missed earnings” club for the first time since 2022. That’s right, folks – Walmart, the retail giant that’s usually as reliable as your mom’s grocery list, just whiffed on Wall Street’s expectations.

Here’s the tea: WMT stock took a 4% nosedive Wednesday morning after reporting Q2 earnings that fell short of what analysts were expecting. And when I say “fell short,” I mean they missed by a whole nickel – earning 68 cents per share instead of the expected 73 cents. In Wall Street terms, that’s like showing up to a potluck with store-bought cookies when everyone expected your famous homemade brownies.

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  • The Numbers Game (Don’t Worry, I’ll Keep It Simple)

    Before you start panic-selling your WMT shares, let’s break down what actually happened:

    • Revenue hit $177.4 billion (up 4.8%) – actually beat expectations
    • Traffic was up 1.5% (people are still shopping)
    • Average ticket prices jumped 3.1% (translation: everything costs more)

    So what went wrong? Basically, Walmart got hit with some unexpected expenses – think of it like when you budget for a nice dinner out but forget to factor in the tip, parking, and that extra cocktail you definitely didn’t need.

    The Tariff Tango

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  • Here’s where things get spicy. CEO Doug McMillon dropped this fun fact on the earnings call: prices have been going up every single week because of tariffs. Every. Single. Week. That’s like watching your grocery bill slowly creep up while you’re still buying the same sad bag of spinach that’ll probably go bad before you use it.

    This tariff situation is particularly interesting because Walmart built its empire on being the cheapest game in town. But when your costs keep rising, even the king of low prices has to pass some of that pain along to customers. Meanwhile, Dollar General is over there laughing all the way to the bank with a 51% stock gain this year (compared to Walmart’s respectable but not spectacular 13%).

    The Silver Lining (Because There Always Is One)

    Despite the earnings hiccup, Walmart isn’t exactly panicking. They actually raised their guidance for the rest of the year, which is corporate speak for “we think things are going to get better.” They’re expecting sales growth of 3.75% to 4.75% for the full year – not exactly explosive, but steady as she goes.

    Should You Care?

    Look, one earnings miss doesn’t make Walmart the next Blockbuster. The company is still processing more transactions than a busy Starbucks on Monday morning, and people aren’t exactly going to stop buying groceries anytime soon.

    That said, the stock isn’t exactly screaming “buy me” right now with a forward P/E of 39. It’s not cheap, but it’s not expensive enough to run away screaming either. Think of it as the financial equivalent of a reliable Honda Civic – not the flashiest ride, but it’ll get you where you need to go.

    The bottom line? Walmart stumbled, but it’s more of a “whoops, tripped over my own feet” moment than a “falling down the stairs” situation. Keep calm and carry on shopping.

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