Trading Tips Blog

Here's the thing about bull markets—they're like a really good Netflix series. You want them to keep going, but you're also wondering when the plot twist is coming. The bull market that kicked off in late 2022 is now over three years old and still charging. The S&P 500 wrapped up 2025 up about 18%, following back-to-back 24% and 23% years. The Nasdaq? Up 22.3%. Even the Dow got in on the action with a 14.5% gain. Not bad for ...
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Here's the thing about bull markets—they're like a really good Netflix series. You want them to keep going, but you're also wondering when the plot twist is coming. The bull market that kicked off in late 2022 is now over three years old and still charging. The S&P 500 wrapped up 2025 up about 18%, following back-to-back 24% and 23% years. The Nasdaq? Up 22.3%. Even the Dow got in on the action with a 14.5% gain. Not bad for a ...
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Remember when you could just dump money into the S&P 500 and pretend you were a genius investor? Yeah, those days might be over. Richard Bernstein, a $19 billion portfolio manager and professional market skeptic, just dropped a cheerful prediction: the S&P 500 is heading for a "lost decade." Not a lost year. A *decade*. That's 10 years of watching your money do basically nothing while inflation eats your lunch. Here's the thing—Bernstein isn't being dramatic. He's pointing to the 2000s, when ...
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Here's a pattern that plays out like clockwork in tech investing: someone announces an efficiency breakthrough, the market panics, investors dump the "wrong" stocks, and six months later everyone quietly realizes they sold at exactly the wrong time. Welcome to TurboQuant, Google's new compression algorithm that's got memory stock investors in a full-blown panic. On March 25, Google Research dropped a paper on TurboQuant—a technique that squeezes AI's Key-Value cache (basically the working memory AI models use) from 16 bits down to ...
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Starbucks has spent the last year trying to fix itself. Store closures. Menu simplification. Faster service. Better staffing. All under the direction of CEO Brian Niccol, the guy who turned Chipotle into a growth machine. And according to Jim Cramer, it's working. Cramer revealed in January that Starbucks is a significant position in his charitable trust. He's been pounding the table on the turnaround for over a year, and he's not backing off now. In a recent appearance, he said Niccol has ...
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Oil is trading around $100 a barrel and everyone's watching the Strait of Hormuz. Fair enough. But while crude grabs the spotlight, another commodity is quietly setting up for a supply shock of its own: aluminum. Here's why it matters. Aluminum production is brutally energy-intensive—it takes huge amounts of electricity to smelt the metal. When oil prices spike, energy costs spike. And when energy costs spike, aluminum production becomes a lot more expensive. We've seen this movie before. In the 1970s, oil ...
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The U.S. added 178,000 jobs in March, beating expectations and reversing February's ugly 133,000 decline. Unemployment ticked down to 4.3%. On the surface, everything looks fine. Except it's not. Peel back the headline number and the picture is far less rosy. Nearly half of March's job gains came from health care—76,000 positions, with 35,000 of those simply Kaiser Permanente workers returning after a February strike. Strip that out and you're left with tepid growth at best. Worse, the unemployment rate only fell because ...
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The U.S. added 178,000 jobs in March, beating expectations and reversing February's ugly 133,000 decline. Unemployment ticked down to 4.3%. On the surface, everything looks fine. Except it's not. Peel back the headline number and the picture is far less rosy. Nearly half of March's job gains came from health care—76,000 positions, with 35,000 of those simply Kaiser Permanente workers returning after a February strike. Strip that out and you're left with tepid growth at best. Worse, the unemployment rate only fell because ...
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