Trading Tips Blog

The stock market's been on a three-year tear, and honestly, it's been pretty wild. We're talking about the S&P 500 up roughly 18% in 2025 alone, following 24% gains in 2023 and 23% in 2024. The Nasdaq? Up 22.3% last year. Yeah, the bulls have been running hard. But here's the thing—valuations are getting spicy. The Shiller P/E ratio is sitting near all-time highs at 40.59, and the Nasdaq 100 is trading at around 34 times earnings. That's historically elevated, which ...
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Here's a fun fact nobody wants to hear: the bond market is basically the financial system's canary in the coal mine. And right now? That canary's looking pretty stressed. According to RSM's chief economist Joseph Brusuelas, the Treasury market is flashing warning signs that could eventually cascade into the stock market. And before you tune out thinking this is boring finance stuff—it's not. This is the kind of thing that actually affects your portfolio. The culprit? The Iran war and the oil ...
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Here's the plot twist nobody saw coming: AI was supposed to make everything better. Instead, it's turning out to be the ultimate business model assassin. For years, tech companies sold us a beautiful dream. "AI will make everything faster, smarter, and more profitable," they promised. But there's a flip side to that pitch—one that's now playing out in real time. If AI can do everything it claims, it can replace everything people currently pay for. Welcome to the reckoning. Software stocks are getting ...
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Everyone's convinced Big Tech is in the doghouse. Amazon, Microsoft, Meta, and Alphabet are supposedly throwing $700 billion a year at AI like drunk sailors, and the market's punishing them for it. Fair point—that's a *lot* of money. But here's the thing: the bears might be reading the scoreboard wrong. Let's start with what's actually happening. Yeah, free cash flow for these four companies is tanking—down from $230 billion in 2024 to a projected $94 billion this year. That's a $136 ...
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Remember when everyone thought AI would destroy the stock market? Well, William Blair decided to stop panicking and actually think about which companies might survive the robot apocalypse. Spoiler alert: some will, some won't, and the difference is way more interesting than you'd think. The analysts basically asked themselves: "If AI changes everything, shouldn't we change how we rate these companies?" Fair point. So they built a new framework with four criteria, each worth five points, for a perfect score of ...
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While everyone debates whether Big Tech is spending too much on AI, a quieter story is unfolding in the companies actually building the infrastructure. Bank of America just slapped buy ratings on two "neocloud" stocks — CoreWeave and Nebius — and the upside targets suggest Wall Street thinks this space is massively underappreciated. BofA analyst Tal Liani set a $100 price target on CoreWeave (CRWV), implying 22% upside from current levels, and a $150 target on Nebius (NBIS), implying 31% upside ...
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Sumitomo Mitsui Financial Group — Japan's second-largest bank with a $124 billion market cap — is reportedly positioning for a potential takeover of Jefferies Financial Group. And the timing couldn't be more interesting. According to the Financial Times, SMFG has assembled a small internal team to prepare for a move if Jefferies' stock keeps falling. The Japanese giant already owns a 20% stake in the Wall Street investment bank, so this wouldn't come out of nowhere. But Bloomberg quickly countered that ...
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If you parked money in a private credit fund thinking it was a safe, yield-generating alternative to bonds, you might want to sit down for this one. Apollo Global Management just told investors in its $15.1 billion flagship private credit fund — Apollo Debt Solutions BDC — that they can only get back 45 cents on every dollar they asked to withdraw. Redemption requests hit 11.2% of outstanding shares in Q1, more than double the fund's 5% quarterly cap. So Apollo ...
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