When a Stock Soars on Vibes (Not Profits)

Here's a wild market moment: SpaceX is probably going higher. But before you FOMO into it, let me explain why that's actually terrible news for most investors. Last month, SpaceX went public in what Jeremy Grantham—a guy who's been bearish since before it was cool—called "the craziest IPO in the history of man." He's not wrong. The company floated just 5% of its shares, yet somehow commands a market cap rivaling Amazon. That's not a company; that's a financial engineering masterpiece. Here's ...
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The AI Boom’s Biggest Enemy Isn’t What You Think—It’s Politics

Here's the thing nobody wants to admit: New York Governor Kathy Hochul just pulled off the most hypocritical move in recent political history, and it might be a preview of what's coming for your portfolio. Last week, she signed a law pausing new hyperscale AI data centers. The very next day? Her administration announced it's using AI to review every single regulation on New York's books—a process that would've taken five years but now takes months. So she wants AI's benefits. She ...
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Alphabet’s Strongest Seasonal Window Closes Next Week — Here’s What History Says

Seasonality research — the study of recurring calendar patterns in individual stock prices — has become significantly more rigorous as computing power has advanced. Researchers at TradeSmith analyzed 33 years of market history across 5,000 stocks to identify windows when specific names have historically tended to rise or fall. One of the most reliable patterns they found is in Alphabet (NASDAQ: GOOGL): the stock has risen between June 29 and July 30 in 14 of the past 15 years — ...
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China’s Kimi K3 Spooked Chip Stocks — Here’s Why That Was the Wrong Reaction

The moment Moonshot AI released its new Kimi K3 model, Wall Street grabbed the DeepSeek playbook and hit sell. The Philadelphia Semiconductor Index (SOX), tracked by the iShares SOXX ETF, dropped nearly 10% — its worst weekly decline since April 2025. Investors drew an immediate parallel to DeepSeek: another capable Chinese AI model means hyperscalers are wasting money on AI infrastructure, so sell chip stocks. But that reading misses the most important data point in the entire story: Kimi K3 ...
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ASML and TSMC Beat Earnings — So Why Did Both Stocks Drop 8%?

Something unusual is happening this earnings season: strong results are no longer enough. ASML Holding (NASDAQ: ASML) and Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing (NYSE: TSM) both beat expectations in their most recent quarters and raised their full-year outlooks — yet both stocks dropped hard. ASML fell roughly 8% the day after reporting, while TSMC slid about 4%. Samsung Electronics delivered a colossal 15-fold surge in operating profit and still got punished with an 8% decline. If great earnings can't lift these stocks, ...
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The AI Model That Broke Wall Street’s Brain (And Why That’s Actually Bullish)

Here's what happened: Moonshot AI dropped Kimi K3, the market panicked like it was 2024 all over again, and chip stocks got hammered. The Philadelphia Semiconductor Index tanked nearly 10% in a week—its worst performance since April 2025. Wall Street dusted off the DeepSeek playbook and started selling first, asking questions later. Then something hilarious happened. Moonshot's servers caught fire—not literally, but close enough. Demand for K3 exploded so fast that the company had to slam the brakes on new subscriptions ...
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AI’s Losing Its Mojo—Here’s Where Smart Money Is Going Instead

So the AI trade finally hit a speed bump. Shocking, I know. After months of watching memory stocks and chip companies moon like they invented electricity, the whole momentum machine just... sputtered. China's throwing its own AI hat in the ring, capex concerns are creeping in, and suddenly everyone's asking the same question: "What now?" Goldman Sachs has an answer, and it's refreshingly boring—which, in a market this chaotic, is actually kind of genius. Ben Snider and his team at Goldman just ...
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SpaceX Drops Below Its IPO Price — What Investors Should Do at $123

SpaceX (NASDAQ: SPCX) has gone from market darling to cautionary tale in a matter of weeks. After rocketing to an all-time high of $225.64 post-IPO, shares have plunged to around $123 — roughly 9% below the $135 IPO price and 45% off the peak. The selloff reflects the same valuation reset hitting high-growth tech broadly: investors are demanding a clearer path from spending to profits. For anyone eyeing SpaceX as a buy-the-dip opportunity, the bull and bear cases are both ...
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