Trading Tips Blog

This is shaping up to be one of the most interesting bank earnings seasons in years. Yes, the macro backdrop is messy: an Iran war, oil volatility, a Fed that cannot make up its mind, and a consumer that is starting to crack. But here is the thing: the largest U.S. banks are heading into results week trading at lower forward P/E ratios than they were at the end of 2025, even as earnings estimates have actually been revised higher ...
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It's official: the Strait of Hormuz — the narrow chokepoint through which roughly 20% of the world's oil flows — is now under U.S. blockade. President Trump announced Sunday morning that the U.S. Navy will begin blocking all ships trying to enter or exit the strait, after peace talks with Iran collapsed in Islamabad. Markets that were banking on a de-escalation just got a cold bucket of water thrown on them.Here's the immediate math: the strait handles about 20 million ...
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The bull market's been on a three-year tear, and Wall Street's asking the obvious question: can it keep going? Here's the thing—most analysts think yes, but they're not all betting the same amount. By late December 2025, the S&P 500 had climbed about 18% for the year, hitting all-time highs around 6,932. That's on top of 24% gains in 2023 and 23% in 2024. The Nasdaq? Up 22.3% to roughly 23,613. Even the Dow got in on the action with a ...
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Remember when the Iran war had everyone convinced we were headed for an economic apocalypse? Yeah, about that. This week, markets decided to do a complete 180, and honestly, it was the financial equivalent of a superhero movie plot twist. On Tuesday evening, news of a ceasefire deal dropped like a mic, and investors collectively exhaled for the first time in weeks. The result? An absolute rager of a market rally that basically erased all the losses from the conflict. Let's break ...
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Well, that was close. Like, *really* close. Yesterday at 6:30 p.m., Trump posted something that didn't end with "and a whole civilization will die tonight." Instead, it was a ceasefire announcement. The markets immediately lost their minds—and honestly, they had every right to. The Dow jumped 1,200 points. The S&P 500 climbed 2.5%. The Nasdaq rocketed 3% higher. Meanwhile, oil prices did a nosedive, dropping 16% in a single day. Brent crude plummeted from $110 to $95. That's the kind of move ...
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The market correction might not be done — but that doesn't mean you can't be ready. Research-backed strategy says there's a specific class of stocks that get crushed hardest in a downturn and rocket hardest when liquidity comes back. Here's the list. The concept is called liquidity sensitivity. A 2003 academic study found that stocks most sensitive to changes in market liquidity — how easily you can buy or sell without moving the price — outperform the least sensitive stocks by ...
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Last week's S&P 500 surge looked great on paper: up 3.4%, with the Nasdaq climbing 4.4%. The bulls declared the correction over. Veterans of volatile markets aren't so sure — and one data-driven indicator has their back. The Money Flow Breadth Ratio, which tracks weekly net institutional dollar flow in the S&P 500 over rolling 20-week windows, currently sits at 35% and is declining. That's firmly in what analysts call "SELL territory." Across 73 historical observations in that 35–40% range, the ...
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The Iran ceasefire is holding — for now. And this week's PCE inflation report just confirmed what many suspected: the Fed was already fighting an uphill battle before the first missile flew. February core PCE came in at 3.0% year-over-year — above the Fed's 2% target, in line with expectations, but carrying a catch. Personal income fell 0.1% while consumer spending rose 0.5%. Spending up, income down. That gap doesn't sound like a healthy consumer. It sounds like a consumer running ...
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