Trading Tips Blog

Traders already have their hands full with an oil shock from the Iran war. Now add this: climate scientists warn there is a growing probability that a "super El Niño" develops later this year — and the timing could not be worse. European climate models show an elevated chance of sea surface temperatures in the eastern Pacific rising 2 degrees Celsius or more above normal. That is the threshold for what researchers informally call a super El Niño, and it ...
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The ISM Services Employment index just posted 45.2. That number does not come from a slowdown. It comes from a recession — specifically the three actual recessions of the past 25 years: the Dot-Com crash, the Global Financial Crisis, and COVID. In one month, the Employment component collapsed from 51.8 to 45.2. At the exact same time, Prices Paid spiked to 70.7, the highest reading since October 2022 when inflation was running above 8%. That single component jumped 7.7 points ...
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NVIDIA had the kind of week that makes investors' hearts skip a beat—the good kind. The chip giant crushed Q1 earnings expectations while simultaneously getting hit with a China export ban. Somehow, the stock still jumped 5%. Welcome to the beautiful chaos of the market. Here's what went down: NVIDIA posted $44.1 billion in revenue, up a whopping 69% year-over-year and beating estimates of $43.3 billion. Net income hit $18.8 billion, and adjusted earnings came in at 81 cents per share—up ...
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Remember Michael Burry? The guy who called the 2008 housing collapse and inspired "The Big Short"? Well, he's got a new take on the AI wars, and it's not great news for Palantir fans. Burry just dropped a hot take on X: Anthropic is "eating Palantir's lunch." And honestly? The data backs him up. Here's the thing—Palantir has been the Wall Street darling for years, raking in government contracts and building a mystique around its data-crunching prowess. But Anthropic, the company behind ...
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So here's the deal: we're sitting on a geopolitical powder keg, and the fuse is literally set for tonight. President Trump gave Iran an 8 p.m. deadline to reopen the Strait of Hormuz—that narrow waterway where about 20% of the world's oil flows daily. Miss it, and he's threatening strikes on power plants and civilian infrastructure. This morning, he posted on Truth Social: "A whole civilization will die tonight, never to be brought back again." Yeah, he's not mincing words. The U.S ...
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Oil just about doubled in four months. West Texas Intermediate crude was sitting at $57 a barrel at the end of 2025. By early April 2026, it's trading above $115. That's a near-100% move. So why are certain energy stocks still priced like oil is in the $70s?That's the disconnect Bank of America analyst Jill Carey flagged in a note this week. A group of oil-related equities is "trading roughly 30% below where its historic relationship with oil implies," she ...
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Wall Street's hottest AI trade isn't Nvidia anymore. Institutional investors are quietly rotating into a sector most retail traders have barely glanced at: the power grid. And the logic is airtight.U.S. utilities are facing something they haven't dealt with in a generation — sustained, growing electricity demand driven by AI data centers and electrification. The debate usually centers on generation (solar vs. nuclear vs. gas). But the actual bottleneck isn't where the power comes from. It's the physical grid infrastructure ...
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Here's a signal the bond market is flashing that most equity traders have completely missed: U.S. Treasury real yields — that's nominal yields minus inflation — just hit their highest level since the 2008 financial crisis. And historically, that's not where yields stay. It's where they peak before heading sharply lower.MarketWatch columnist Mark Hulbert laid it out plainly: above-average real yields have been followed, more often than not, by lower nominal rates in fairly short order. And now, with the ...
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