Barclays Names NET Power a Top Pick as AI Energy Demand Surges Toward $1 Trillion in Capex

As artificial intelligence data centers consume ever-greater amounts of electricity, the hunt for reliable, low-carbon power sources has become one of the most urgent investment themes of 2026. Barclays has named NET Power Inc. (NYSE: NPWR) as one of its key gas power generation picks, citing the company’s unique position at the intersection of surging AI energy demand and next-generation carbon-capture technology. The bank projects that annual AI capital expenditure could surpass $1 trillion before 2028 — and that massive buildout demands equally massive power generation capacity to match.

NET Power operates in a niche that few competitors can match. The company has pivoted from its original proprietary technology toward pairing its system with Siemens gas turbines combined with post-combustion carbon capture from Entropy, which has demonstrated a roughly 90% carbon-capture rate. That combination addresses one of the most acute tensions in the AI energy story: how to deliver large-scale, dispatchable power at scale without blowing past climate commitments. Management confirmed that Project Permian Phase I — targeting 80 megawatts of output — remains on track. A final investment decision is expected in the second half of 2026, with commercial operations targeted for early 2029. The company has also hired a strategic advisor to help secure a long-term power purchase agreement, which would significantly de-risk the revenue outlook and represent the next major catalyst for the stock.

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  • For investors tracking the AI buildout, the energy infrastructure layer is increasingly impossible to ignore. Data center power demand is growing faster than utilities can build conventional capacity, creating a structural gap that companies like NET Power are designed to fill. NPWR is a higher-risk, higher-upside play — the company has no commercial revenue yet, and the path to profitability runs through that 2029 target. But Barclays’ endorsement adds institutional credibility to the thesis. The second-half 2026 final investment decision is the key binary event to watch: a green light would signal real capital backing the project and could move shares sharply. Investors who can tolerate early-stage risk may want to have NPWR on their radar ahead of that catalyst.