Unusual Options Activity: Yamana Gold (AUY)

Surge in October 25th call options.

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  • The October 25th $4 call options on Yamana Gold (AUY) saw trading of over 2,950 options contracts against an open interest of 254. That 11-fold surge in volume indicates that at least one trader is betting on higher gold prices this month.

    With 16 days until expiration and with shares around $3.50, shares of the gold miner would need to rally at least 14.5 percent for the option to trade in-the-money.

    With the option trading at just $0.03, or $3 per contract, however, there’s little for the call buyer to lose even if the option expires later this month at zero. But a move to, say, $4.10 by the end of the month would leave the option at $0.10, or more than a triple from here.

    Action to take: We like gold as a hedge against many of the market uncertainties out there right now, from trade war fears to the rise of negative interest rates, and expect its long-term rally to continue. And with a low-cost options trade, this could be a great bet for traders in the next few weeks that some of the volatility in the market would still be with us.

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  • Speculators may want to consider the trade, understanding that the option, while cheap at $0.03, could still drop to zero.