October put buying suggests shares will remain weak.
The October 18th $12 put options on New York Community Bancorp (NYCB) saw an unusual amount of trading volume with over 8,700 contracts trade against a prior open interest of 268, a 32-fold rise in volume.
With shares around $13.30, the $12 put option will close in-the-money if shares fall more than 10 percent in the next few weeks, making a sizeable percentage decline.
- Investor Who Predicted 2008 Crash: “The Mother of All Crashes is Coming”
If you've watched the movie The Big Short, you've heard of Michael Burry. He was one of the few who not only predicated the 2008 crash but profited from it.
He made $750 million for his investors and $100 million personally when his bet against the housing market paid off.
His next big prediction? He's warning the "mother of all crashes" is coming.
If you have any money in the markets, I urge you to click here and get the day of the next stock market crash.
New York Community Bancorp is a regional bank headquartered in New York state, offering traditional banking services such as checking and savings accounts, mortgage and business loans, and other similar services.
Action to take: Most analysts are souring on the banks thanks to threatened declines in interest rates, and smaller banks without an investment services branch could be susceptible to continued declines in the coming months.
We like the idea of buying puts on the bank, but would prefer to give the trade more time to play out—such as March 2020 $12 puts instead. That will allow time for the market to sort out how interest rate changes will impact bank stocks.
Investors could consider buying shares here, given the moderately high dividend yield of 5.2 percent, but may want to wait until prices of the bank get down to around $9 or under, near the 52-week low, to get shares at the best possible price.