Trading Tips Blog

Ken Fisher doesn't make quiet bets. The billionaire founder of Fisher Investments — one of the largest independent money managers in the world — has put $16.05 billion into Nvidia, making it the top holding in his AI-focused portfolio. That's not a speculative flier. That's a conviction call at scale. And yet Nvidia shares are down about 4.5% over the past six months while everything else in tech seemed to rip. So what does Fisher see that the market is ...
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The memory trade had quietly been dying. Micron shares had been sliding, the AI chip euphoria was drowning in geopolitical noise, and investors were rotating into anything that looked stable. Then came the Iran cease-fire — and within hours, the whole sector snapped back like a coiled spring. Micron surged 7%. Sandisk jumped 11%. Western Digital climbed 8%. Seagate added 7%. The message from the market was unambiguous: this wasn't finished, it was just on pause. The underlying thesis was never ...
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For eighty years, the 60/40 portfolio — 60% stocks, 40% bonds — was the bedrock of sensible investing. The logic was elegant: when stocks tank, bonds rally. Smooth sailing. But that compact between asset classes was always downstream of something bigger: the Pax Americana, a global system built on cheap energy, open sea lanes, and the dollar's unchallenged reserve status. That system is now cracking, and the 60/40 is cracking with it. The evidence is everywhere if you're looking. In 2022, ...
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Picture this: It's Wednesday evening, and the world is literally one Truth Social post away from a geopolitical meltdown. Trump's got his finger hovering over the "destroy Iran" button, oil is screaming toward $130, and investors are sweating through their shirts like they just discovered their portfolio was actually a Ponzi scheme. Then—plot twist—Pakistan swoops in like the cool older sibling who actually knows how to negotiate, and suddenly we've got a two-week ceasefire. The Dow jumps 1,200 points. Oil crashes ...
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Remember Michael Burry? The guy who shorted the housing market and became a movie star? Well, he's back with a hot take that's going to ruffle some feathers on Wall Street. His latest thesis: Anthropic is eating Palantir's lunch. And honestly? The data backs him up. Here's the setup. Palantir has been the darling of the AI crowd for years—government contracts, fancy data analytics, the whole nine yards. But Burry just dropped a truth bomb on X: Anthropic's valuation jumped from $9 ...
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Last week's stock market rally felt like a turning point. The S&P 500 surged 3.4%, the Nasdaq climbed 4.4%, and the bulls were ready to declare the correction over. But here is the thing about markets after a sharp correction: the difference between a genuine reversal and a relief rally is almost invisible in real time. One matters enormously. The other is a trap.The technical picture tells the story clearly. The S&P 500 bounced roughly 4.5% off its late-March lows ...
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Traders already have their hands full with an oil shock from the Iran war. Now add this: climate scientists warn there is a growing probability that a "super El Niño" develops later this year — and the timing could not be worse. European climate models show an elevated chance of sea surface temperatures in the eastern Pacific rising 2 degrees Celsius or more above normal. That is the threshold for what researchers informally call a super El Niño, and it ...
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The ISM Services Employment index just posted 45.2. That number does not come from a slowdown. It comes from a recession — specifically the three actual recessions of the past 25 years: the Dot-Com crash, the Global Financial Crisis, and COVID. In one month, the Employment component collapsed from 51.8 to 45.2. At the exact same time, Prices Paid spiked to 70.7, the highest reading since October 2022 when inflation was running above 8%. That single component jumped 7.7 points ...
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