Long-dated put options see heavy volume.
Although consumer tech giant Apple (AAPL) is having a pretty good year, at least one trader is betting on a pullback.
That’s based on the 40-fold surge in volume on the February 2020 $240 put options. With shares of the company around $264, that’s a bet on shares dropping nearly 10 percent.
Over 11,000 of those contracts traded against a prior open interest of just 300— indicating a massive bet on a modest drop in shares.
Shares of the company have soared 37 percent in the past year, more than double the return of the S&P 500 Index in the same time. Despite a valuation over $1 trillion, the company continues to grow, albeit in the low-single digits, but sports a 21 percent profit margin.
Action to take: We think shares of Apple are fairly, if not a bit richly, priced. A pullback would be great to allow investors to add to their stake, and a normal market correction of 10 percent would allow investors to buy shares again should they get to around $240.
Speculators may want to consider this February put option trade as a hedge against an overall market drop. A 10 percent decline in Apple—or the overall market—is a pretty common occurrence that tends to happen when investors get complacent as they are now. At a price of around $4.50 per option or $450 per contract, the put trade makes for an inexpensive market hedge.
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